UFC 239: Allen vs Melendez Odds, Preview and Pick

UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier II Odds, Betting Guides for All 13 Fights

UFC 236 takes place Saturday night in Atlanta, and you can watch the five-fight principal card live on ESPN+. The card is ripe with fascinating struggles throughout the night, however, the majority of fans will likely be most-interested at the event’s closing two fights for the interim middleweight and lightweight names.
We already have you covered with in-depth betting analysis on the main and co-main occasion…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that does not mean we can’t find out a thing or two about the night’s additional 11 struggles!
What follows is a brief breakdown on each matchup in UFC 236 in a bid to learn enough about every fighter to make a more educated wager on them if your heart desires.
UFC 236
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier has been on a war path since returning to lightweight in April, 2015. Overall, he has won eight of his last 10 fights and suffered only 1 loss (KO into Michael Johnson) and one no contest in his first battle against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among busy UFC lightweights in striking differential per second at +2.69.
The two Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) rank among the top-five highest-volume strikers in the entire UFC. Holloway’s quantity is similar to an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overwhelming as the battle goes on.
Holloway’s last fight was arguably the finest championship functionality in UFC history. Overall, his 290 significant strikes at a fight broke the UFC tournament album.
Holloway started the week as a -230 favorite, but activity has come in greatly on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum was able to record a minumum of one knockdown against former champions Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort during his hellacious run through the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two mixtures have been difficult for just about all of his opponents do cope with during his career.
Israel’The previous Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing champion that has rung up a 16-0 record to begin his mixed martial arts profession. He will not need anything related to Gastelum — a country championship wrestler in high school — about the ground, but we have yet to see some come close to out-classing Adesanya around the toes throughout his five UFC wins.
Adesanya started the week as a -175 favorite, but has since transferred to -185 supporting the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban in Alabama from 2006-2009 before beginning his mixed martial arts profession. All three of Anders’ career losses have come in his last four fights, but those were just two split-decision losses combined with one TKO reduction via referee stoppage throughout his short-notice light heavyweight debut against Thiago Santos, who’ll fight Jon Jones to the division’s championship in July.
Rountree recorded the biggest victory of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but has been pumped out by rising contender Johnny Walker past November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it hard for him to win conflicts by any way other than a conclusion, and he has accordingly lost both of his livelihood UFC fights who have made it past the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will probably be providing up a five-inch reach benefit to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban during his 11-fight UFC profession, but he’s 3-1 in fights with a reach benefit of three or more inches. Meanwhile, the Grant is 1-1 at the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) and a split-decision loss to Zak Ottow (72-inch reach).
The x-factor within this fight might wind up being volume. Jouban finds himself one of the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), important strike precision (No. 7), strikes landed per minute (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has literally never had a struggle go to the judges in 30 livelihood MMA fights. Including 10 fights inside the Octagon, that have featured three wins by TKO/KO and three by submission in contrast to three losses by submission and one by TKO.
This is actually a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round submission. The finish featured Saint Preux’s signature entry: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts massive elevation (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and reach (77 inches vs. 71) advantages over Frevola, but that edge could be mitigated when the latter fighter is able to instigate his takedown-heavy attack. Turner was last seen starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back in UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is currently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight ahead of his departure with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has dropped three of his last four fights, they have come from a high-level competitors like John Moraga, present flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former winner Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have typical fight times that could indicate we’ll see this fight last into the next round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 odds. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won all eight of his fights by TKO or KO. He is making his debut within the octagon against Max Griffin, who has lost four of the last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There is a bit of bad blood , as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his opponent…
“He’s an ass, guy. He’s not a fantastic man… I don’t like the man… I’m looking forward to showing him what it is like.”
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven seven career fights (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He’ll maintain a four-inch height benefit of Taha, who has lost two of his last 3 fights. Backing Salmon at his ancient -135 odds was one of my favorite bets on the card, but he still offers a little bit of value at his current -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought just last month in UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, finally losing by entry (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad has also been active, as he suffered a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January in UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts three and four inch height and reach advantages, respectively, though Muhammad continues to be much more of a takedown threat throughout his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson started the week as a -500 favored, but has since moved higher. He’s the biggest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a professional and has been fed to Jackson, who has dropped only once in eight career bouts.
Girls Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both these women have high striking prices and don’t waste their time getting started. This is very true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest end in the history of this UFC women’s branch back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional conflicts, while Davis is only 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will be inside the octagon for the very first time in his career, while Davis has seemingly never fought 135 pounds.
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UFC 239: Allen vs Melendez Odds, Preview and Pick